Bayer Leverkusenvs
Molde
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Bayer Leverkusen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Molde are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
76.9%
Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00