GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/14/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bayer Leverkusen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Molde are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

76.9%

Model confidence

76.9%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayer LeverkusenDWDWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MoldeDDWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bayer LeverkusenMolde
79.5Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
76.9Form38.9
73.5Power45.5
3.32xG1.00
View match centre →