Bayer Leverkusenvs
Marseille
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
72.7%
Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bayer LeverkusenWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MarseilleWLWWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Bayer LeverkusenMarseille
79.5Attack64.3
66.7Defence47.6
76.9Form52.4
73.5Power55.4
2.84xG1.11