GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Bayer Leverkusen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while BK Hacken are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

84.7%

Model confidence

84.7%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayer LeverkusenDWWWW

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BK HackenWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bayer LeverkusenBK Hacken
79.5Attack53.3
66.7Defence30.0
76.9Form33.3
73.5Power38.8
3.98xG0.88
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