GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 5/9/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bayer Leverkusen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AS Roma are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bayer LeverkusenWWDDD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AS RomaDLDWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bayer LeverkusenAS Roma
79.5Attack54.8
66.7Defence71.4
76.9Form59.5
73.5Power61.6
1.52xG0.97
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