Bayer Leverkusenvs
AS Roma
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 5/9/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AS Roma are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80