GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Utah Royals W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Bay FC W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Utah Royals W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Utah Royals W hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the NWSL Women, while Utah Royals W holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Utah Royals W

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

13.2%

Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bay FC WWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Utah Royals WWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bay FC WUtah Royals W
35.1Attack58.3
52.6Defence61.7
33.3Form60.0
42.1Power60.9
0.81xG1.60
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