GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/2/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bay FC W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC W hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC W

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

14.7%

Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bay FC WLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Seattle Reign FC WWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bay FC WSeattle Reign FC W
35.1Attack42.6
52.6Defence57.4
33.3Form50.0
42.1Power51.8
0.93xG1.14
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