Bay FC Wvs
Racing Louisville W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/20/2026, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bay FC W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bay FC W 2-0 Racing Louisville W
Original prediction
Bay FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.5% | 40.1% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.2% | 28.3% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.4% | 31.6% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bay FC W
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Bay FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20