Bay FC Wvs
Orlando Pride W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bay FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bay FC W 1-3 Orlando Pride W
Original prediction
Bay FC W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.1% | 40.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.2% | 26.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.7% | 33.4% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Bay FC W
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Bay FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80