NWSL WomenNWSL Women
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:41
Bay FC W

Bay FC W

Home
W
30
Full time
North Carolina Courage W

North Carolina Courage W

Away
W
PayPal Park
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Draw(27%)
Win probability
Bay FC W
43%
Draw
27%
North Carolina Courage W
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bay FC W
73
North Carolina Courage W
94
Defence
Bay FC W
91
North Carolina Courage W
66
Momentum
Bay FC W
100
North Carolina Courage W
100
Danger (xG)
Bay FC W
1.80
North Carolina Courage W
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Bay FC W)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (North Carolina Courage W)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Bay FC W)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (North Carolina Courage W)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Bay FC WBay FC W
WD
North Carolina Courage WNorth Carolina Courage W
WW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Bay FC W43%
Draw27%
North Carolina Courage W29%

Bay FC W leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bay FC W head into this in NWSL Women fixture at PayPal Park in mixed form (W), while North Carolina Courage W arrive in mixed form (W). Bay FC W have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for North Carolina Courage W over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Bay FC W (91/100) and North Carolina Courage W (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Bay FC W have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. North Carolina Courage W have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Bay FC W and North Carolina Courage W in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 43% confidence. Win probabilities: Bay FC W 4325%, Draw 2735%, North Carolina Courage W 2940%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Bay FC W

Bay FC W

W
@ Racing Louisville W
11 Jul 2026
20
D
vs Boston Legacy W
16 May 2026
11
North Carolina Courage W

North Carolina Courage W

W
vs Seattle Reign FC W
5 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Chicago Red Stars W
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more