Bay FC Wvs
Kansas City W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kansas City W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bay FC W 1-2 Kansas City W
Original prediction
Kansas City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.5% | 30.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 29.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.7% | 40.5% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Kansas City W
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Kansas City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40