GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bay FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Bay FC W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bay FC W hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the NWSL Women, while Bay FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bay FC W

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

17.0%

Bay FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bay FC WLDDWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chicago Red Stars WLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Bay FC WChicago Red Stars W
35.1Attack15.8
52.6Defence40.4
33.3Form22.8
42.1Power29.8
1.39xG0.65
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