GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Bay FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bay FCWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Washington Spirit WDDDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bay FCWashington Spirit W
35.1Attack50.9
52.6Defence70.2
33.3Form63.2
42.1Power62.9
0.63xG1.41
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