Bay FCvs
Washington Spirit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 4/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Bay FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Washington Spirit W
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00