Bay FCvs
Seattle Reign FC
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/2/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Reign FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bay FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Seattle Reign FC
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Seattle Reign FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60