Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bulle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bavois 3-0 Bulle
Original prediction
Bulle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.0% | 31.1% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.4% | 23.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 33.6% | 45.0% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Bulle
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Bulle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BavoisLDLLD
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BulleDWWWD
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BavoisBulle
40.0Attack86.7
60.0Defence60.0
33.3Form73.3
46.1Power73.3
1.31xG1.99