Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baunatal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wolfhagen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolfhagen hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00