GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/12/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Waldgirmes hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WaldgirmesDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BaunatalWaldgirmes
22.2Attack47.1
44.4Defence25.5
11.1Form39.2
29.5Power39.6
2.23xG1.52
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