GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/17/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalVfb Marburg
22.2Attack50.0
44.4Defence66.7
11.1Form66.7
29.5Power64.8
1.28xG1.81
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