GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/4/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalVfb Marburg
22.2Attack50.0
44.4Defence66.7
11.1Form66.7
29.5Power64.8
1.28xG1.81
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