GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while TSV Steinbach II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Baunatal hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 21.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

66.9%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TSV Steinbach IIWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalTSV Steinbach II
22.2Attack38.9
44.4Defence0.0
11.1Form16.7
29.5Power21.1
2.82xG1.19
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