GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SV Steinbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Steinbach hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SV SteinbachLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalSV Steinbach
22.2Attack45.1
44.4Defence32.4
11.1Form32.4
29.5Power39.0
2.04xG1.45
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