GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/23/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rot-Weiß Walldorf are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Baunatal hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 13.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalLWWDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-Weiß WalldorfLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalRot-Weiß Walldorf
22.2Attack22.2
44.4Defence0.0
11.1Form0.0
29.5Power13.7
2.10xG1.39
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