Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baunatal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 29.5 against 27.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00