Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baunatal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kassel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 29.5 against 27.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60