GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/6/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hummetroth are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Baunatal hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
HummetrothLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BaunatalHummetroth
22.2Attack33.3
44.4Defence0.0
11.1Form0.0
29.5Power15.3
2.21xG1.37
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