Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Baunatal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hanau 93 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanau 93 hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40