Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Baunatal are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hanau 93 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanau 93 hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40