Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baunatal 0-2 Fernwald
Original prediction
Fernwald
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BaunatalDWLWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldDDDDD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BaunatalFernwald
47.6Attack52.4
38.1Defence52.4
35.7Form42.9
42.7Power51.4
1.47xG1.88