Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baunatal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Gießen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gießen hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Baunatal
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40