GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/4/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC 1906 Erlensee hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalFC 1906 Erlensee
22.2Attack41.2
44.4Defence30.4
11.1Form26.5
29.5Power34.5
2.13xG1.30
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