GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/9/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dietkirchen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dietkirchen hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWDLWD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DietkirchenDLDLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BaunatalDietkirchen
22.2Attack48.0
44.4Defence16.7
11.1Form23.5
29.5Power32.0
2.56xG1.51
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