GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/23/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bayern AlzenauLDLDW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BaunatalBayern Alzenau
22.2Attack44.4
44.4Defence44.4
11.1Form22.2
29.5Power40.2
1.65xG1.63
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