GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/6/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baunatal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaunatalWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Bayern AlzenauDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BaunatalBayern Alzenau
22.2Attack44.4
44.4Defence44.4
11.1Form22.2
29.5Power40.2
1.65xG1.63
View match centre →