GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bałtyk Koszalin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bałtyk Koszalin are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Victoria Września are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Victoria Września hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the III Liga - Group 2, while Bałtyk Koszalin holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bałtyk Koszalin

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

14.2%

Bałtyk Koszalin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bałtyk KoszalinLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Victoria WrześniaLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bałtyk KoszalinVictoria Września
33.3Attack40.2
50.0Defence54.9
16.7Form41.2
36.5Power47.4
1.31xG1.16
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