Bałtyk Koszalinvs
Elana Toruń
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bałtyk Koszalin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bałtyk Koszalin 2-3 Elana Toruń
Original prediction
Bałtyk Koszalin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.8% | 41.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.1% | 25.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.1% | 32.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Bałtyk Koszalin
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Bałtyk Koszalin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80