GGOALVIO

Turkey · 1. Lig · 10/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Batman Petrolspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Batman Petrolspor 3-2 Esenler Erokspor

Original prediction

Batman Petrolspor

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7732.9%40.9%8.0 pts
Draw3.2228.3%28.6%0.3 pts
Away2.3538.7%30.5%-8.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Batman Petrolspor

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Batman Petrolspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Batman PetrolsporDWLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Esenler EroksporWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Batman PetrolsporEsenler Erokspor
66.7Attack30.3
42.4Defence60.6
60.6Form36.4
58.1Power44.7
1.77xG0.91
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