Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bath City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yate Town
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40