Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bath City 1-2 Uxbridge
Original prediction
Uxbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.5% | 33.7% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 26.9% | 40.4% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bath CityDWDWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UxbridgeWDWWD
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bath CityUxbridge
16.7Attack83.3
75.0Defence58.3
33.3Form83.3
44.6Power77.1
1.15xG1.63