Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bath City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sholing are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80