Bath Cityvs
Malvern Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bath City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bath City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Malvern Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bath City hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Bath City holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bath City
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Bath City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40