GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bath City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bath CityWDWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bath CityChertsey Town
16.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power89.7
1.20xG1.72
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