GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bath City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bath City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Berkhamsted are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Berkhamsted hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Bath City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bath City

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Bath City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bath CityWDWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BerkhamstedLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bath CityBerkhamsted
16.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence33.3
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power45.8
1.55xG1.38
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