Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Batel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Batel are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Iraty are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Batel hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Paranaense - 3, while Batel holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Batel
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Batel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00