Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orsha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BATE II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Orsha are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orsha hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (30.4 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the 1. Division, while Orsha holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orsha
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
10.7%
Orsha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00