Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gomel II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BATE II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Gomel II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gomel II hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (30.4 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the 1. Division, while Gomel II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gomel II
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
10.0%
Gomel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40