Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Slutsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BATE II 0-1 FC Slutsk
Original prediction
FC Slutsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.60 | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.65 | 16.0% | 16.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 74.6% | 70.2% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
FC Slutsk
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
FC Slutsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BATE IIDLLWL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC SlutskWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BATE IIFC Slutsk
40.4Attack73.7
21.1Defence59.6
19.3Form73.7
30.1Power70.5
0.94xG3.64