Bate Borisovvs
Slavia Mozyr
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bate Borisov 0-0 Slavia Mozyr, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bate Borisov 2-1 Slavia Mozyr
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 33.1% | 30.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.8% | 32.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 36.1% | 37.9% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Bate Borisov 0–0 Slavia Mozyr
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bate BorisovLLDLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Slavia MozyrLLWLD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Bate BorisovSlavia Mozyr
20.0Attack39.2
60.0Defence54.9
20.0Form41.2
35.3Power47.0
0.70xG0.89