GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/17/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bate Borisov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bate Borisov are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 33.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bate Borisov holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bate Borisov

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Bate Borisov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bate BorisovLLLWD

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sheriff TiraspolWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bate BorisovSheriff Tiraspol
50.0Attack8.3
0.0Defence50.0
16.7Form33.3
25.2Power33.4
1.51xG1.24
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