Bate Borisovvs
Naftan
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bate Borisov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bate Borisov 1-0 Naftan, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bate Borisov 2-2 Naftan
Original prediction
Bate Borisov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 66.3% | 50.8% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.1% | 27.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 7.22 | 12.7% | 22.1% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Projected Score
Bate Borisov 1–0 Naftan
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Bate Borisov
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Bate Borisov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bate BorisovLWDWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NaftanLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 18 · avg 0.20/3.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Bate BorisovNaftan
20.0Attack33.3
60.0Defence23.5
20.0Form19.6
35.3Power28.4
1.24xG0.72