GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ML Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Bate Borisov are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while ML Vitebsk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ML Vitebsk hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Premier League, while ML Vitebsk holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ML Vitebsk

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

18.6%

ML Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bate BorisovLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ML VitebskWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bate BorisovML Vitebsk
21.4Attack71.4
59.5Defence69.0
21.4Form73.8
36.0Power71.7
0.45xG1.76
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