Bate Borisovvs
FC Minsk
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bate Borisov 0-0 FC Minsk, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bate Borisov 2-1 FC Minsk
Original prediction
FC Minsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.8% | 26.1% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.4% | 29.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.8% | 44.8% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Projected Score
Bate Borisov 0–0 FC Minsk
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bate BorisovDWDLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC MinskLLWWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bate BorisovFC Minsk
21.4Attack47.9
59.5Defence56.3
21.4Form52.1
36.0Power53.3
0.67xG1.12